Trend Report 2011

Julian Sußmann, Benedikt Römer (eds.)

CDTM, München, 2011

381 p., XXIV

ISBN 978-3-9812203-8-4

Four mega trends are shaping the world today: demographic change, climate change, globalization and urbanization. Consequences of these megatrends can most clearly be seen in cities: a steadily growing demand for energy, rising water consumption and a need for high-quality and affordable healthcare are just some of the challenges that authorities in cities all over the world face today and in the future.

A particular question therefore is, how to assure affordable and reliable mobility for people and goods? To be more precise: how does the future of individual transport look like? How will future transport build up on existing urban infrastructure? What role will electromobility play? What role will central management systems play that gather and smartly connect transport, traffic and personal information thus revolutionizing the way we travel?

Accordingly students analyzed new trends in the topic “urban mobility concepts”. The first part of this report consists of a basic analysis of trends regarding technology, market, society and customer needs, the political and legal framework as well as emerging business models. The second part of the report provides an outlook on the future and analyzes the identified drivers for future developments. As a result, possible business solutions in various future scenarios are deduced and analyzed for business feasibility.